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Texas is Treating Abortion as Capital Murder

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In Texas, 38-year-old Justin Banta has been charged with capital murder for allegedly putting abortion-inducing drugs in his girlfriend’s drink, causing her to miscarry. If Banta did what he is accused of doing, he is a terrible person who committed a serious crime and deserves to go to jail.

It’s telling, though, that if the state’s claims are true, then Banta committed a crime against a women — but he’s being prosecuted for an alleged crime against a six-week-old embryo, which is being treated as a person he murdered. Should Banta face criminal penalties if he did what prosecutors say? Yes, because what he did is a serious assault. But that’s a very different question than the one of whether a “pro-life” state should the state kill Banta for killing an embryo.

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Or, to say it differently: If Banta murdered someone, then it’s hard to argue that women who take abortion-inducing drugs aren’t doing the same thing — ditto the fertility specialists who dispose of unused embryos. Which is of course what the anti-abortion movement argues, and what Texas prosecutors are trying to lay the legal groundwork for.

The capital murder charges are even more terrifying. There are many lesser offenses prosecutors could use to charge Banta. But they’ve spent several months building this particular case. And that’s because they are building toward a legal landscape within which they can implement the death penalty for abortion.

That Texas prosecutors seem to have not charged Banta with assaulting a pregnant woman really says it all. She’s the one whose drink was poisoned. She’s the one who suffered the pain and physical ramifications of a miscarriage. But to “pro-life” Texas prosecutors, she’s an incubator, not a person. And so they are using the power of the state to reclassify an embryo as a born human one might be executed for killing, while totally ignoring the injury that was done to the actual born person in question. And not just that — they’re so pro-life they want to kill a guy as punishment.

This really is the anti-abortion movement in a nutshell.

Texas, like many anti-abortion states, has a provision in its law to prevent women who have abortions from being prosecuted. But that’s a matter of political expedience — anti-abortion legislators know that jailing women for abortion is really, really unpopular. What’s not unpopular is jailing men who do things like slip abortion pills into their girlfriends’ drinks. And so they’re using hugely unsympathetic men like Banta to expand the outer reaches of abortion bans and fetal protection laws, working to establish a legal norm of treating even embryos and fertilized eggs as born people — even putting to death people who cause embryonic death. Texas prosecutors are also clear that they would like abortion providers treated like Banta. And at some point, abortion providers might face similar punishments (right now, they face 99 years in prison). But what would make a fertility doctor who discards unused embryos any different? What would make a woman who takes abortion pills of her own volition any different? If the woman is taken out of the equation — and Texas is certainly trying to establish a kind of independent embryonic and fetal personhood in which the woman is shaded out — then the context of who brought about embryonic death isn’t really relevant.

It is very hard to have this both ways: To say that a man who gives a woman an abortion pill is a murderer, but a woman who takes one is not. A man who gives a woman an abortion pill without her consent is a serious asshole and a criminal and an assailant, the same way a man who has sex with a woman without her consent is a rapist but a man who has consent is not. But this is a case that totally disregards the woman involved.

It’s also a vehicle through which to foment distrust in abortion pills. Abortion is banned in Texas and the anti-abortion movement supposedly got what it wanted when the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade and sent abortion’s legality back to the states, but the anti-abortion movement has never really wanted this to be a state-by-state issue. That’s why they’re working to ban abortion pills nationwide. There are a bunch of strategies at play there, including using old obscenity laws that ban the mailing of abortion devices and classifying the pills as “forever chemicals.” But they’re also trying to make the case, against all evidence, that abortion pills are dangerous. In reality, the pills are safer than many widely-available medications and treatments, including Penicillin (and they are many magnitudes safer than Viagra). Cases like this, which are rare but extremely upsetting acts of domestic violence, are being used to make the case that abortion pills — not men who commit violence against women — are the problem. Texas could prosecute domestic violence and assaults against pregnant women if it wanted to. Instead, abortion opponents are arguing that abortion pills have to be banned in order to protect women, while failing or refusing to use the law to protect women — and passing bans that threaten women’s lives.

To wit: A new analysis by ProPublica finds that abortion bans like the one in Texas have made first-trimester miscarriages much more dangerous. Comparing emergency room data from before Texas’s abortion ban to data from after, ProPublica reporters found that the number of miscarrying women needing blood transfusions in the ER skyrocketed by 54%. That’s likely because, without an abortion ban, women who are miscarrying are offered what is essentially an abortion procedure to safely complete the miscarriage. Without that procedure, they risk hemorrhage — and if that happens, which it often does, women can die. At least one woman in Texas already has, after she bled out for 10 hours after a miscarriage:

What happened to Porsha Ngumezi shows how dangerous it can be to delay care, according to more than a dozen doctors who previously reviewed a detailed summary of her case for ProPublica.

When the mother of two showed up bleeding at Houston Methodist Sugar Land in June 2023, at 11 weeks pregnant, her sonogram suggested an “ongoing miscarriage” was “likely,” her doctor noted. She had no previous ultrasounds to compare it with, and the radiologist did not locate an embryo or fetus — which Ngumezi said she thought she had passed in a toilet; her doctors did not make a definitive diagnosis, calling it a pregnancy of “unknown location.” After hours bleeding, passing “clots the size of grapefruit,” according to a nurse’s notes, she received two blood transfusions — a short-term remedy. But she did not get a procedure to empty her uterus, which medical experts agree is the most effective way to stop the bleeding. Hours later, she died of hemorrhage, leaving behind her husband and young sons.

Abortion bans mean that pregnant women are simply treated as sub-human, not entitled to the same medical care and consideration as other patients. ProPublica reports on one woman, Sarah Pablos Velez, who was pregnant at 30 when her doctor saw her pregnancy wasn’t viable. But she wasn’t offered a termination; instead, she was sent home and told to come back two weeks later and check again. She wound up in the emergency room — and from there, things only got worse:

Over two visits to the emergency room, doctors told her that she could complete the miscarriage at home, even as she reported filling up three toilet bowls with blood and a nurse remarked that they needed a janitor to clean the floor, De Pablos Velez and her husband recalled. No obstetrician ever came to assess her condition, according to medical records, and while her hospital chart says “all management options have been discussed with the patient and her husband,” De Pablos Velez and her husband both told ProPublica no one offered her a D&C.

She was told to follow up with her OB at her next appointment in three days. Six hours after discharge, though, she was trying to ride out the pain at home when her husband heard her muttering “lightheaded” in the bathroom and ran to her in time to catch her as she collapsed. “She was pale as a ghost, sweating, convulsing,” said her husband, Sergio De Pablos Velez. “There was blood on the toilet, the trash can — like a scene out of a horror movie.”

An ambulance rushed her to the hospital, where doctors realized she no longer had enough blood flowing to her organs. She received two blood transfusions. Without them, several doctors who reviewed her records told ProPublica, she would have soon lost her life.

Letting pregnant women bleed out and sometimes die in the name of protecting embryos, while using the full power of the state to try to kill a guy for causing an abortion while not even bothering to prosecute him for assaulting a pregnant woman — I’m not sure I could have invented a clearer distillation of the “pro-life” movement.

xx Jill

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DGA51
9 hours ago
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Abortion bans mean that pregnant women are simply treated as sub-human, not entitled to the same medical care and consideration as other patients. 
Central Pennsyltucky
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Get out your Skinny Pop and Orville Redenbacher! Trump and Musk are engaged in a slap-fest

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Homemade Butter Popcorn Recipe

It won’t come as much of a surprise that our…cough cough…president was awake at 12:44 this morning in the White House with his personal phone in his hand making threats on Truth Social against his one-time pal, the deficit slasher whose waste, fraud, and abuse cuts ended up costing more money than they saved:

“Elon Musk knew, long before he so strongly Endorsed me for President, that I was strongly against the EV Mandate. It is ridiculous, and was always a major part of my campaign. Electric cars are fine, but not everyone should be forced to own one. Elon may get more subsidy than any human being in history, by far, and without subsidies, Elon would probably have to close up shop and head back home to South Africa. No more Rocket launches, Satellites, or Electric Car Production, and our Country would save a FORTUNE. Perhaps we should have DOGE take a good, hard, look at this? BIG MONEY TO BE SAVED!!!”

Why did Donny have his Depends in a wad, you might ask? Elon was threatening to form a new political party and run candidates against every Republican who voted for Trump’s Big Deficit-Busting Bill:

“It is obvious with the insane spending of this bill, which increases the debt ceiling by a record FIVE TRILLION DOLLARS that we live in a one-party country—the PORKY PIG PARTY!! Time for a new political party that actually cares about the people.”

And then Musk, who only a month ago had announced that he would be cutting back on his political spending, posted this:

“Every member of Congress who campaigned on reducing government spending and then immediately voted for the biggest debt increase in history should hang their head in shame! And they will lose their primary next year if it is the last thing I do on this earth.”

The bill passed the Senate this morning, of course, and heads over to the House, where Speaker Mike “Biblical Law” Johnson will push it through despite the fact that it will probably close half the rural hospitals in his state of Louisiana.

$930 billion in Medicaid cuts. $120 billion in SNAP food stamp cuts. 12 million fewer people will receive Medicaid benefits according to the Congressional Budget Office.

$3.3 trillion added to the budget deficit over the next ten years, but who’s counting?

Elon Musk, that’s who.

Trump hasn’t gotten back on Air Force One yet from his visit this morning to the Everglades site of his newest concentration camp, which they’re calling “Alligator Alcatraz.” But when he’s back in the air, look for him calling on Pam Bondi to use the Civil Rights Division of the DOJ to go after Elon’s naturalization as a citizen.

Yep, that’s a thing. They announced yesterday that the division of the DOJ that used to sue counties in the South for denying Black citizens the right to vote will now be used to strip some naturalized Americans of their citizen ship:

“The Civil Division shall prioritize and maximally pursue denaturalization proceedings in all cases permitted by law and supported by the evidence," wrote Assistant Attorney General Brett A. Shumate in a memo.

Elon, a former citizen of South Africa, is naturalized. Asked this morning on his way out of the White House to get on Air Force One if he has plans to deport Elon Musk, Trump answered, “I don't know, we'll have to take a look.”

Keep your popcorn handy and make sure your microwave is working. This is going to be good.

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DGA51
1 day ago
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Keep your popcorn handy and make sure your microwave is working. This is going to be good.
Central Pennsyltucky
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ICE Agents Are Fucking Nazis And They WILL Pay The Price For "Just Following Orders"

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This is it. This is Germany in the 1930s and what you do will be recorded in the history books. Your children and grandchildren will look back and ask what you did. Will you be able to look them in the face?

These are dark times but I will continue to tell the stories you need to hear in a clear (and usually profane) voice. If I entertain/anger/inform you, preferably all three, please consider becoming a supporting subscriber today for only $5 a month or just $50 a year.

👊Punch Nazis👊

I have really bad news for America’s newly-empowered Nazis in ICE: This will all end very badly for you.

I get it! You think you’re protected! Everything is going according to plan. You’re obeying the law! (You’re not, but we’ll get to that) You’re the good guy! And this is America, right? Cops never get in trouble no matter how fucking crazy they get. Just have to wave that badge in front of a jury and all is forgiven. “I was a’feared for muh safety!” are the magic words that allow law enforcement to beat unarmed suspects to a pulp. Allows them to murder people in handcuffs and get a pat on the back. Hell, do it enough times and you get a cool medal for multiple kills!

And, hey, look at this awesome bill the GOP is trying to pass! ICE is gonna be on fucking steroids, bro!

Who is the regime going to hire with that $8 billion? Sober, experienced law enforcement professionals? Men, and it will be 98% men, who take the rule of law seriously and plan to uphold their oath to the Constitution? Bish, please. We all know the screening for candidates will involve questions like, “Have you ever fucked your cousin?” and “Please describe the the intense love you have for pointy white hoods." and “Whose birthday do you masturbate the hardest on: Hitler, Putin, or General Lee?”

Stephen Miller and Tom Homan are not going to be looking for rational adults. They’ll be looking for rabid animals willing to hunt down anyone not deemed sufficiently white enough to be a “real” American. And after they’ve scooped up enough of Those People, they’ll move on to the “enemies of the state.” You know, journalists and activists and “socialists” and Democrats and protesters and anyone who doesn’t fall in line with the new order.

What? You think Miller’s planned concentration camps are gonna fucking fill themselves?!

#NurembergThemAll

Now, this is the important thing to understand, and I really need our good friends in ICE to grasp this concept: Your regime is going to fall. And then we’re going to come for you.

I know…I know. The Fourth Reich will never fall. The last set of Nazis said the same thing. A thousand years, they said. The Bush regime said it would rule for 100 years. Trump said he would be president for life back during his first term and then his little insurrection didn’t succeed. He made it the second time but do you really want to bet your life he’ll be in power until he dies in, what? 8? 9 years? Man’s not looking so good these days. You think his idiot sons are going to take over? Maybe Lara Trump? Maybe Stephen Miller will rise to power as the new Führer! Maybe JD Vance will lead a new techbro oligarchy!

I think we all know that when Trump shuffles off this mortal coil, it’s all over for the MAGA movement. And his brain will be Swiss cheese long before that happens. But unless Trump strokes out before 2028, the regime is going to fall then anyway. You can’t stop it, no matter how much you might think you can.

And then things are going to get really ugly for you, really fast.

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The only good Nazi is a ____ Nazi.

You may be betting that America will just “move on” like we have in the past. That we’ll concentrate on “looking forward, not back” like we did after Trump 1.0. And Bush. And the other Bush. And Reagan. And Nixon. And the decades of lynching and the KKK and the pro-Nazi movement in the 30s and the Civil War and and and. Literally a century and a half of traitors, fascists, slavers, and insurrectionists, almost all of them white men, all of them from the right. Always trying to destroy this country because you hate it and everything it stands for.

And we let you try again and again and again. Because we don’t punish racist white men in America.

Are you REALLY sure that history will hold? Because let me tell ya, buddy, we’re pretty fucking tired of you. We’ve been tired of you for a really long time and you’ve used up all of our tolerance and patience. That well done run dry. Now? Now we just want to put you up against a wall and put a bullet in your head.

Maybe you shouldn’t have come out of the Nazi closet. Maybe you shouldn’t have covered your faces and started grabbing people off the street like a secret police. We don’t have a secret police here. But you couldn’t wait to cosplay as the Gestapo, right? You had a throbbing erection for the unaccountable violence you’d get to visit on those filthy aliens you hate so much.

Maybe you should have stuck to the rule of law instead of wilding out. But you thought the good times would last forever and no one would ever come for you.

But we will.

Do you think Trump will pardon you? Do you think we’re going to give a fuck? We’re going to come for you and you’re either going to spend the rest of your life in a little box or you’re going to swing from the end of a rope. No one cares if you were just following orders. You had a choice but you were so eager to follow Stephen Miller’s Nazi vision for America you didn’t think about what would come after. There’s always an after. The regime always falls.

Sometimes, there are truth and reconciliation commissions. You should only BE so fucking lucky. We will not be having those. At least not at first. America is an extremely bloody-minded country and we do so like taking our revenge. We really REALLY don’t like Nazis and, boy howdy, are you fucks leaning into that swastika life.

When we find out what you’ve done in the camps you’ll be running? The rapes, the murders, the child trafficking? Because let’s be honest, you fucking pedophile freaks, you’re going to molest kids by the hundreds. We’re not going to want to reconcile with you. We’re going to want you dead. And you won’t be able to run fast enough, far enough to get away. How many of you think you can escape to Mother Russia? Think you’ll all be welcome there? Maybe. They need more cannon fodder for their war, after all.

Sure, a lot of you are hiding your faces. Not very well, though. Even so, you’re all on video. over and over again. You’re on video. Do you think we’re not going to be able to take your file and match it to your stupid Nazi face? I don’t give a fuck how much is covered. We’re going to know who you are and what you’ve done. And then you’re going to swing or rot in a cell.

Or maybe you’ll cooperate with the tribunals and you get to live. Oh? What? Did you think all of you would swear a blood oath to never betray your fellow rat fucks? BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA! First of all, not all of you are actually Nazis. Some of your fellow agents will manage not to stain their souls with blood and evil. Those agents are going to be more than happy to give the rest of you up. And then there will be the traitors. There are always traitors willing to sell the rest of you out to save their own skin. Fascists are weak and cowardly and, ultimately, pathetic. It’s the core of who you are. If you were a real man, you wouldn’t be a fascist.

So, yeah, we’re going to find out who you are no matter how hard you try to hide your identity. And then you get the Nuremberg treatment. No pardon will save you. No one will mourn you. You’ll just be another piece of shit Nazi crushed by the United States. Your blood will water the tree of liberty, a lesson for the rest of your kind to stay hidden because you’re not getting another shot at this.

You fucked around and I promise you, you’re going to find out.

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The Blue Wave has begun and the fascist fucks are scared. There are 125 days until it hits Virginia and Pennsylvania. If I were a billionaire fascist loser, I’d think REALLY hard about getting out of the way.

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DGA51
1 day ago
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I think we all know that when Trump shuffles off this mortal coil, it’s all over for the MAGA movement. And his brain will be Swiss cheese long before that happens. 
Central Pennsyltucky
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Older Americans Backing Trump Now Face Cuts to Medicaid, Services

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People aged 65 and older make up a big chunk of the United States population (18%) and use the most health care of any age group. Just over half of these aging Americans will need some sort of long-term services or supports in their lifetime.  
Americans aged 65 and older also have the highest voter turnout amongst any age group. About 30 percent of all votes for President Trump in the 2024 presidential election came from this group. It is perplexing then, given these facts, that the Trump administration and Republicans are slashing the health care coverage, programs and services, and health care infrastructure that support this growing group.
I wrote about these cuts and the expected, negative health outcomes for aging Americans in the Worcester Telegram & Gazette last weekend. You can read more here.  
The post Older Americans Backing Trump Now Face Cuts to Medicaid, Services first appeared on The Incidental Economist.
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DGA51
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Will they ever learn?
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US Health Care Expenditures: An Ominous Trend Returns?

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In the 2010s, it appeared that US health care expenditures as a share of GDP had peaked. But there group at the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services that continually carries out and updates these estimates and forecasts. Their most recent projections suggest that US health spending is about to start rising again as a share of GDP. Sean P. Keehan, Andrew J. Madison, John A. Poisal, Gigi A. Cuckler, Sheila D. Smith, Andrea M. Sisko,Jacqueline A. Fiore, and Kathryn E. Rennie present the estimates in”National Health Expenditure Projections, 2024–33: Despite Insurance Coverage Declines, Health To Grow As Share Of GDP” (Health Affairs, July 2025).

For perspective, health care spending as a share of US GDP had been rising steadily over the half-century prior to 2010: 5% of GDP in 1960, 6.9% of GDP in 1970, 8.9% of GDP in 1980, 12.1% of GDP in 1990, 13.3% of GDP in 2000, and 17.2% of GDP in 2010.

However, in the decade after 2010, US health care spending as a share of GDP seemed to stabilize: for example, it was 17.4% of GDP in 2018 and 17.5% of GDP in 2019. When the pandemic hit, and US health care expenditures leaped to 19.5% of GDP in 2020. But by 2022, health care expenditures had fallen back to 17.3% of GDP, similar to the prevailing level in the 2010s.

But looking ahead, the authors from CMS write: “Each year for the full 2024–33 projection period, national health care expenditure growth (averaging 5.8 percent) is expected to outpace that for the gross domestic product (GDP; averaging 4.3 percent) and to result in a health share of GDP that reaches 20.3 percent by 2033 (up from 17.6 percent in 2023).”

What’s behind that overall estimate? The authors explain:

During 2024–33, Medicare spending is projected to grow the most rapidly, at a rate of
7.8 percent annually … , mostly as a result of strong average enrollment growth compared with Medicaid and private health insurance as the last cohort of baby boomers ages into Medicare through 2029. Although yearly spending trends are projected to be more volatile for Medicaid than for other payers, annual Medicaid spending growth is projected to average 6.4 percent for the period 2024–33, which is about the same as the program’s average during the twenty-year period 2000–19. For private health insurance, high growth in utilization, along with notable changes in enrollment, are expected to moderate during 2024–33, with spending projected to increase by 5.2 percent, on average. … The out-of-pocket share of total health spending is projected to decline from 10.4 percent in 2023 to 9.1 percent by 2033.

Of course, projections should always be taken with a grain of salt. I’ll take up the question of how to moderate the rise in health care spending some other day. Here, I’ll just make three points. First, an increase in health care spending can be a good thing when it is accompanied by broad improvements in overall health statistics for the population, which does not especially seem to be the case for the United States. issues. Second, when an ever-increasing share of GDP goes to producing health care, that money isn’t available for other socially desireable goals–including wage increases and public spending priorities. Third, every dollar spent on health care is a dollar in income to some participant in the health care system, all of who believe that their work benefits patients, and all of whom can be counted on to protest loudly any attempt to slow the growth rate of such spending.

The post US Health Care Expenditures: An Ominous Trend Returns? first appeared on Conversable Economist.

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DGA51
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With the budget cuts that the Trumpists want, can actual healthcare spending increase?
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Republicans Are VERY Afraid Of The Midterms. Three Months Ago, They Weren't

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Let’s take a step back into the distant past of…March 2025. Trump had just been sworn in several weeks earlier, and his regime immediately set the Constitution on fire. Elon Musk, the richest man in the world, was rampaging through the federal government, stealing trillions of dollars’ worth of personal data and illegally firing tens of thousands of federal employees.

Masked ICE agents began to grab people off the street with no warrant and make them disappear. The first human trafficking flight to a concentration camp in Central America was on March 15, in direct violation of a court order. The country was terrified. The press was working 24/7 to sanewash a rabid president and normalize open lawlessness by a fascist regime. The Republican Party was gloating about Trump’s (nonexistent) massive mandate and a new dawn in ‘Murika. Elections didn’t matter because by the time they came? This would be The White Christian States of Trump.

March was a really long time ago, wasn’t it? All that Republican swagger vanished. Where is it? In a supermax prison in El Salvador?

Fascism thrives on fear. It wilts under scrutiny. Never look away. Never stop fighting. Hold them accountable and make them pay for every cruel thing they do. It’s the only way we get through this. Support this newsletter for just $5 a month or $50 a year and we’ll get through together.

🔥Burn Fascism To The Ground!🔥

Let’s fast forward from March to the far-flung future of June 30, 2025. In the three and a half months since the regime peaked, how are things going for them?

  • Trump has lost about 93% of the cases brought against his regime.

  • Elon Musk has been exiled from his government job and is now attacking Trump and his signature bill, the MAGA Murder Budget.

  • Trump’s triumphant, masturbatory military parade was a disaster, complete with laughably low attendance and the troops making it very clear they were not on board with the fascism.

  • At the exact same time no one showed up to cheer for Trump, several million people took to the streets to cheer for democracy in one of the largest, and definitely most widespread, protests in American history.

  • Trump’s public support has vanished.

  • Voters fucking HATE the “Big Beautiful Bill” Republicans are trying to pass. Even Republicans hate it if they’re aware of what’s in it, something Democrats have been screaming at the top of their lungs and the legacy press has been kind of mumbling under their breath.

This last part is where we pick up the story of now. Remember, Republicans were strutting with their collective dick swinging around. They had a mandate, baby! Fucking ‘Murika! MAGA all the way! Those pussy libs couldn’t do anything. Trump was inevitable and who cares about elections?

A party convinced they don’t have to worry about elections doesn’t give a shit about what the voters think. And when the House Republicans put this bill together, they surely did not care. They were loud and proud about how they were going to gut Medicaid and Medicare and food stamps and Meals on Wheels and just steal literally hundreds of billions from the poor and middle class to feed the endless greed of the fascist billionaires that own the GOP.

By the time they passed the bill, though? They were fighting tooth and nail to secure the votes. Whole lot of threats and compromises and even more threats to get it over the finish line. That was five weeks ago.

Since then, things have gotten even worse. Senate Republicans are tearing each other to pieces over the bill. Trump is threatening primaries. “Moderate” Lisa Murkowski needed a massive bribe. Thom Tillis said, “Fuck you” and then announced he wouldn’t run for reelection next year.

The bill is so bloated and mangled, the Senate Parliamentarian is shooting down crucial pieces of it and Republicans are responding by lying and cheating as they always do. Trump is demanding they simply ignore her and pass whatever they want. But the Senate GOP is not doing that (yet). Why not? Elections don’t matter anymore, right? This is the Thousand-Year Reich, so who cares if they ignore the rules?

Three months ago, Republicans might have done that. They might have done away with the filibuster, too. Something else they haven’t done but should have if they really believed there isn’t going to be another election. Why keep it if they’ll be in power forever? When democracy is dead forever, consequences are only for the losing side.

But the Trump of three months ago isn’t the Trump of now. He’s weak and flailing and still a bumbling incompetent.

Meanwhile, the public of three months ago absolutely isn’t the public of now. We’re angry. So SO very fucking angry and getting more organized by the day. More organized and more militant in our organization.

Trump may have convinced himself that there will not be another election but the Republican Party VERY much believes the midterms are coming and they are very afraid of them.

Did you know the Opinionated Ogre has a weekly podcast? It’s true! New episodes every Thursday! Catch the latest episode here:

The Ogre Wave is coming!!!

Here are a few things to consider and I will continue to point them out:

  • The Trumpcession has not hit yet. It’s coming and it’s going to be bad - When millions of people lose their jobs and the federal government does nothing at all to help, because Project 2025’s solution to a recession is “Fuck you, Poors!”, no one is going to blame Joe Biden or trans kids. They’re going to blame Trump and the GOP.

  • The tariffs haven’t fully impacted the economy yet and Trump is still a fucking moron engaging the country in a global trading war we cannot win - On top of the inflation that’s coming down the pike as the tariffs jack up prices on huge swathes of the economy, Trump’s stupidity is crashing the value of the Dollar and it’s going to get worse.

  • Stephen Miller’s Nazi war against immigrants is going to do massive damage - On top of destroying millions of lives, Miller’s blind racist rage will devastate several industries including hotels, farming, restaurants, and construction. With the economy already stumbling, this will be a killing blow and food prices will skyrocket as crops rot in the field.

  • Musk is not on Trump’s side anymore - Will Musk fund primaries against Trump allies? Possibly. But even withholding his money and support is a massive blow to Trump who would not have “won” the 2024 election with the billionaire and his propaganda machine.

  • The ongoing cuts to the government will be felt soon enough in red states - Even before the MAGA Murder Budget, Republicans have gutted thousands of programs that overwhelmingly served rural America and red states. They’re already noticing all of that support disappearing and they’re going to want to know why. (Hint: Not trans kids)

  • RFK Jr’s vaccine bullshit will kill tens of thousands of people and we’ll all know whose fault it is - By limiting access to the flu and covid vaccines this Fall, the death toll will be unlike anything we’ve seen since 2020. Who’s going to get the blame for that? Not migrants.

  • Iran and Israel will keep fighting and we will get more involved - Netanyahu cannot allow peace to break out or his criminal trial will proceed. Therefore, Israel will be back at war before the summer is over and Trump, his little mushroom dick hard over the idea of being a “wartime president,” will throw us headlong into the fight. No planning. No exit strategy. Just “cool” footage for the news and demands of absolute loyalty. But a new endless Middle East war will infuriate at least some of the GOP base as well as the rest of the non-MAGA country.

  • ICE will continue to spiral out of control - Stephen Miller’s Gestapo grows bolder by the day, convinced that they will never be held accountable for their actions. They are so very very wrong about this. But while they’re high on their own supply, their violence will increasingly sicken the public. Eventually, they will beat someone to death on camera because white nationalists are animals and they’ve been waiting their whole lives for this. They won’t even care if they’re undocumented or not because they’ll have brown skin and that’s all that matters. The public backlash will make the George Floyd protests look like a gathering of elderly British librarians having Sunday tea.

When all of this comes to pass, Trump will be weaker than any president in history and the public will be raging at him more than anyone thought possible. This November’s off-year elections are going to be a bloodbath presaging a midterm slaughter that will put the House and Senate firmly in the hands of the democrats and yank a number of even gerrymandered state legislatures to the left. Republicans will long for the days of the 2018 blue wave.

Now, it’s important to understand that Trump desperately wants to use the military to seize control of the country. To declare an “emergency” and cancel the elections. That’s the plan. That’s always been the plan.

It’s a very bad plan.

There is no mechanism to cancel or even delay the midterms. The federal government cannot dictate when and where states hold their elections. Trump can write an executive order demanding they be canceled and…what? What Democratic-controlled state would honor it? Would the Supreme Court uphold it on the grounds that Trump is king? There is not one single letter in the Constitution to support Trump’s plan and inventing new powers would simply trigger riots.

Now, Trump may want that but the United Military is clearly not onboard and even if they were, they simply are not large enough to seize control of more than one or two big cities. So how does that work? Fingers crossed and hope for the best? Dissolve the Senate and House and hope no one says anything? Hunker down in the White House and rule by fiat? Hope enough of the police or militias join you to put down the riots?

If Trump had the kind of support he needed to do this, millions of Proud Boys would have been in the streets, beating up protesters on No Kings Day. But they weren’t. Isn’t that strange?

Republicans may cram through this bill because they’re afraid of Trump and his cult of murderous monsters. But this should have been easy for them. Deficits don’t matter when elections don’t exist. The debt doesn’t matter when elections aren’t happening. Public rage at the contents of a bill you were gloating about just a month ago doesn’t matter because the public doesn’t get to vote anymore.

But that’s not how Republicans are acting at all. Most of them are very much convinced that passing this bill is electoral suicide and they’ve been trying to do it in the middle of the night behind closed doors. They’ve been lying about what’s in the bill, whereas before they didn’t bother lying at all. They know.

Trump is weak and getting weaker. They’re afraid because they know we’re coming for them, and they no longer believe Trump can stop us.

Fascism relies on the illusion of infallibility, and that illusion has been well and truly shattered. By this time next year, the rats will be fleeing the flaming wreckage of Trump’s regime, trying to save themselves without incurring the wrath of the mad king. Look for an enormous number of “retirements” from the right as dozens of Republicans decide to “spend more time with their families.”

Those are the filthy rats fleeing the coming blue wave.

For their part, Trump and his regime will be lashing out in a wild panic, desperately trying to subdue us. So this is going to get worse before it gets better. Document all of it. Make a record for the tribunals and use the anger to fuel you because when this is over, and it WILL be over, the Nazis will either spend the rest of their lives in a small cell or swing from the rope for what they’ve done. Count on it.

I hope you feel better informed about the world and ready to kick fascists in the teeth to protect it. This newsletter exists because of you, so please consider becoming a supporting subscriber today for only $5 a month or just $50 a year. Thank you for everything!

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Fascism hates organized protests. They fear the public. They fear US. Make fascists afraid again by joining Indivisible or 50501 and show them whose fucking country this is!

The Blue Wave has begun and the fascist fucks are scared. There are 126 days until it hits Virginia and Pennsylvania. If I were a billionaire fascist loser, I’d think REALLY hard about getting out of the way.

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DGA51
2 days ago
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But the Trump of three months ago isn’t the Trump of now. He’s weak and flailing and still a bumbling incompetent.
Central Pennsyltucky
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