He’s going to lose the Epstein file vote in the House tomorrow. He knows it. Everybody knows it. That’s why he “flipped” last night, as the mainstream media is reporting it, telling House Republicans that they can essentially vote their conscience.
I know…I know…the idea of “Trump” and “Republicans” and “conscience” in the same sentence is so foreign and out of whack, it feels like we’re having some kind of slimy bad dream.
Nevertheless, there it is: evidence that for the first time since he lost the vote in the election of 2020, Trump is weak. When it comes to his connection to the Abominable Pedophile Man, Jeffrey Epstein, none of his tricks are working. Marjorie Taylor Greene went off the reservation, and Trump issued a lengthy excommunication from MAGA on Truth Social, withdrawing his endorsement and giving her a new nickname, “Wacky Marjorie ‘Traitor’ Brown (Remember, Green turns to Brown where there is ROT involved!).” Trump has always been the master of the snappy put-down nickname, so it’s even more evidence of weakness when he feels the need to explain the genesis of what he says he’s going to call Greene from now on.
Trump’s weakness popped out of the closet last week when he lost the vote on the discharge petition. He had threatened the four Republicans who said they would vote for the petition, beginning with Kentucky Congressman Tom Massie, who along with Ro Khanna of California authored the discharge. He called for Massie’s ouster from Congress, threatened to run a primary challenger against him, and even attacked him for his remarriage last week after the death of his wife in June of 2024. “Boy, that was quick!” wrote the thrice-married and multi-philandering Trump on Truth Social, opening the door for Massie’s quick retort on “This Week with Jonathan Karl” yesterday: “Dogs don’t bark at parked cars and we are winning. I am not tired of winning yet,” Massie said Sunday.
Trump and Republicans lost bigly on November 4 in Virginia and New Jersey and in the California vote to allow redistricting. That was another blow to his power. He looked weak. He was weak. Speaker of the House Mike Johnson was still refusing to swear in Adelita Grijalva, the 218th vote for discharge, when the drop of the Epstein emails hit last week. As reporters worked their way through nearly 23,000 emails to and from Epstein, Trump’s name popped up more than anyone had expected. I haven’t seen the latest count, but the last time I checked, CBC was reporting that Trump’s name appears more than 1,500 times in the emails, more than the name of any other person, and there are a lot of names of powerful people in there.
By the end of last week, it was clear. Not only had Trump and Epstein been “best friends” for some 15 years, they stayed in touch even after Epstein was convicted on state charges of soliciting prostitution in Florida, where they lived down the street from each other in Palm Beach.
Rumors and supposition were confirmed in black and white text. Trump was very, very close to a known pedophile. MAGA has been obsessed with pedophile conspiracies for years now. It was inevitable that the email evidence would make Trump look even weaker, and he did.
Now we’re told that perhaps as many as 100 House Republicans will vote tomorrow to force release of the Epstein files by the DOJ. Majority Leader Thune has promised a vote in the Senate, and there are reports that Republican Senators will join their House colleagues and vote for the files to be released. By day’s end, Trump told reporters in the Oval Office that he would sign the bill to release the files, adding a classic Trumpian caveat: “Sure I would. Let the Senate look at it. Let anyone look at it, but don’t talk about it too much.” He couldn’t stop himself: Epstein is “a Democrat problem. The Democrats were Epstein’s friends, all of them. And it’s a hoax. The whole thing is a hoax.”
When the man opens his mouth, and croaks the word “hoax,” you know he’s in trouble. Repeated meetings between his campaign and Russia in 2016 were a “hoax.” The 2020 election he lost was a “hoax.” The Access Hollywood tape, on which he admitted to grabbing women “by the pussy” was a “hoax.” He even denied the voice on the tape was his. Remember?
What is Trump going to do when he loses the vote tomorrow? He can’t primary 100 House Republicans. He can’t primary however many Republicans vote to release the files in the Senate. There will just be too many of them. To use the word that defined Democrats only a week ago, Trump “caved.” He is now for the thing he said he was against, and of course, as President, he could order their release at any moment, even tonight, before he loses the vote.
Ever since Trump won election last November, the conventional wisdom has been that he “rules” the Republican Party. He has “remade the party in his image,” the pundits like to say. There are even commentators who say that the Republican Party has ceased to exist as we have known it. It’s now the Trump Party. Trump’s rule is so absolute that no Republican has dared to defy him.
Until they didn’t. Only four Republicans voted for the discharge petition. Four. That’s all it took for Trump’s grip on the party to break.
Deny, deny, deny. That’s what Trump is going to do now. First, he’ll have his DOJ come up with a zillion ways to deny the release of hundreds, if not thousands, of pages of Epstein files. Trump has already called for the DOJ to investigate Democrats he says were associates of Epstein. Bondi will say that they can’t release some of the documents “because of ongoing investigations.” Then they’ll come up with redactions of names and places and crimes because they have to “protect the victims.” These are victims who weren’t protected when Epstein was first charged with state crimes in 2007. They weren’t protected from adult men on the Epstein business jet flying to his island in the Caribbean. They weren’t protected by Donald Trump when Trump himself “knew about the girls,” as Epstein admitted in one of the emails. They weren’t protected when adult men were sexually assaulting them as teenagers.
Trump will deny all of it. He has denied that he wrote and drew the nude figure of a female body on his “Christmas card” to Epstein that was revealed a couple of months ago, even after the entire booklet was later produced. (Trump’s billion-dollar lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal for its story about his drawing and “poem” is still active.) Trump has denied that he assaulted E. Jean Carroll, even after not one, but two civil juries found that he did, and a judge, from the bench, defined his assault as rape, even though in terms of New York State law, he did not penetrate her vagina with his penis. Trump has denied that he assaulted any of the twenty-five women who came forth in 2016 and told of his sexual harassment and assault over many years.
Deny, deny, deny. That was the lesson his mentor Roy Cohn taught him. Cohn, who spent his lifetime in the closet, denied that he was gay on his deathbed when he was dying of AIDS, even while requesting that hustlers be brought to him in the hospital. That’s the level of absolute denial Trump has always aspired to and has practiced every day of his natural born life.
No matter what the Epstein files say about Trump when they finally trickle out of the DOJ in reluctant dribs and drabs and leaks, Trump will deny that any of it is true. Girls? What girls? He didn’t do it. He didn’t know about it. Practically the only thing he won’t be able to deny is knowing Jeffrey Epstein because of the photographs of them together. I wouldn’t put that past him, though. He has denied ever knowing E. Jean Carroll, and there is at least one photograph of them together.
What Donald Trump will not be able to deny is losing the House vote tomorrow and the Senate vote when it occurs. He will lose those votes because his connection to Epstein has made him weak. He will deny that he is weak, but that’s the danger all autocrats face in the end. When you have to deny that you’re weak, everybody already knows it, and they will treat you accordingly.
He’s down, he’s not out, but man, is it going to be fun watching him squirm.









