The most important thing General David Petraeus did during his multiple tours in Iraq and his command of allied forces in Afghanistan was not “the surge” he conceived in Iraq in 2007. On the first or second day after the U.S. had invaded Iraq in 2003, Petraeus, then commander of the 101st Airborne Division, turned to Washington Post reporter Rick Atkinson and said, “Tell me how this ends.”
It’s the question being asked today in every capital in Europe, every Emirate on the Gulf that is being bombarded daily by missiles and drones from Iran, every oil company trying to move tankers through the Strait of Hormuz to the Suez Canal, every trucking and shipping company moving goods to market with fuel prices exploding daily, every dinner table of every family with sons or daughters on U.S. ships and stationed in military facilities in the Middle East, around every table of every editorial board of every newspaper in the U.S. and around the world, hell, it’s the same with everyone who watches or reads or listens to the news anywhere. Nobody knows when or how this war will end, and that makes everybody nervous.
Petraeus was smart enough to see early on in Iraq the futility of moving great numbers of U.S. troops into a country that clearly did not want them there. The 101st was getting hit by fire from Iraqi army units that had dispersed as the Americans crossed the border from Kuwait. The American soldiers were moving down roads in Humvees and trucks with canvas sides and tops, not a scrap of armor to protect them from small arms fire and RPG-7’s Iraqis were shooting at them. Later would come roadside bombs – they came up with a word for them, Improvised Explosive Devices or IED’s – placed under piles of trash and buried under dirt roads, even hidden in the body cavities of dead animals that lay along roadsides.
Petraeus had no way of knowing in March of 2003 that insurgents fighting against U.S. forces would go on for the next eight years, but he suspected that the attacks his division was experiencing during the initial invasion of Iraq were not signs of anything good. He knew it would get worse. He just didn’t know how much worse and how fast. He was also knew that American politicians back in Washington D.C. had gambled their political careers on the invasion of Iraq, and they would be unlikely to want to order a pull-out of U.S. forces anytime soon.
Petraeus’ prescient question should probably go on his tombstone when he is buried at West Point and be taught in the classrooms to cadets not only after he is gone, but right now. The U.S. has had a very bad habit of getting involved in wars it has not been able to win. This trend began with the ceasefire and division of Korea into North and South that ended the war but did not win it; the misbegotten war in Vietnam that ended with our ignominious departure in 1975; through the First Gulf War in 1991 that achieved its goal of running the Iraqi army out of Kuwait but did not result in either the destruction of Iraq’s army or the end of the reign of Saddam Hussein.
Then came the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, which no sane military historian would claim the U.S. “won.”
Now we are in the age of Donald Trump, who ran for president promising “no more forever wars,” a clear reference to the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, which he supported until he opposed them.
Donald Trump was bothered by Iran when he took office the first time in 2017. He hated the Iran nuclear deal negotiated by John Kerry and signed by Barack Obama, mainly because it was a “Democrat deal” and was not his, so he cancelled it. Then he bided his time until he won back the presidency and appointed enough lackeys to his cabinet and intelligence services and to the Pentagon that he could do anything we wanted with the U.S. military, so he decided to do something about Iran. First, he bombed its nuclear facilities last year, declaring they were “decimated” and not to be worried about any further.
But that wasn’t enough for Donald Trump. Josh Marshall in his column in Talking Points Memo pointed out that as Trump has become more bedeviled by frustrations at home – the Epstein files come up with a new horror about his friend, and even himself, practically every day; the Supreme Court took away his emergency tariff powers; his campaign to rid the country of undocumented immigrants is going so poorly he had to fire Kristi Noem; inflation is proving to be stubborn; employment figures are tanking; Republicans are resigning wholesale from Congress; his poll numbers have hit all-time lows – Trump has turned “more and more to the presidency’s prerogative powers that are untrammeled and unrestrained regardless of what’s going on at home or how much support he has.” Marshall sees Trump “leaning hard into these prerogative powers where a president is, in effect, all powerful amounts to a kind of grand and bloody self-care.”
But it’s the kind of self-care of a man suffering from an ulcer that he decides to cure by operating on himself with hand tools from his garage and dull knives from his kitchen. We are seeing that there was little planning for this war beyond assembling a whole bunch of ships and bombers and jets and missiles and bombs and giving the order a week ago to attack, from a ballroom in Mar a Lago, no less.
Donald Trump is clearly among those in positions of power in this country who failed to learn from Korea, Vietnam, Iraq and Afghanistan that the enemy gets a vote. If you hit someone in the face, you are going to get hit back, and it’s going to hurt.
Here is the key to those wars and this one: they live there, and we don’t. All you had to do to realize the folly of Vietnam and Iraq and Afghanistan was to look at what we built there. We built temporary little Americas and called them “base camps.” Our military forces ventured outside of those base camps at their peril. When we left Vietnam and Iraq and Afghanistan, we left our base camps behind, because our soldiers were never going to live there and establish a presence that could only be achieved by absolute victories over our enemies such as we had at the end of World War II over Germany and Japan, when they accepted terms of unconditional surrender and we became what amounted to permanent occupiers.
Trump is not well schooled, or even schooled at all, in military history, but he is smart enough to know that he will not be able to get what he wants from Iran unless that country agrees to “UNCONDITIONAL SURRENDER,” as he demanded on Truth Social today, because of course, that’s how you get an enemy to give up. You do it on social media.
After his demand on Truth Social, Trump called Axios and explained what he meant on the phone: “Unconditional surrender could be that they announce it. But it could also be when they can’t fight any longer because they don’t have anyone or anything to fight with.”
This, of course, is blind and dumb flat-out madness. Iran is an enormous country with a huge population, more than 92 million people. If you took Iran and placed it over the United States, it would cover everything from Maine to Florida. That means its territory would cover every major population center on the Eastern seaboard, from Bangor to Boston to New York and New Jersey to Washington D.C. to Richmond to Charlotte and Raleigh to Atlanta to Jacksonville to Orlando to Miami. The combined populations of Massachusetts, Connecticut, New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Virginia, and Florida is about 95 million people, more or less equivalent to Iran’s population.
Now let me ask you something: If another country decided it didn’t like us, and that country decided to do something about its dislike and started bombing the Eastern Seaboard of the United States with its 95 million people, how do you think we would react? Would all those states, and all those Americans, just lie down and say, in effect, please stop, we give up?
The first thing to know is, it would take hundreds and hundreds of millions of pounds of bombs to force into submission a territory as big as our eastern states. Nobody has that many bombs. We don’t have that many bombs. We don’t have enough missiles and conventional bombs to bomb Iran into unconditional surrender. There are too many towns and cities, too many structures, too many roads, too many factories, too many single family and multiple family homes, too many schools, too many mosques…
Too many of everything that makes up a modern society and nation including people.
Israel over the last two-plus years has been able to basically flatten Gaza. But Gaza is 25 miles long, seven miles wide at its widest point, with a population of two million. Have the Palestinians of Gaza given up? Has Hamas unconditionally surrendered?
The answer is no, and that answer is a lesson that neither Donald Trump nor Bibi Netanyahu has learned. We should have learned that lesson by now. In ten years of war in Vietnam, the U.S. dropped about seven to eight million tons of bombs on North and South Vietnam.
That war ended 51 years ago. We have had plenty of time to learn that Vietnam won. Our soldiers went home. Our ships left Vietnam’s waters. Our jets took off and flew to American bases on Guam and Hawaii and other islands.
Dominating another nation using military means is impossible in our modern age. It doesn’t matter how tough Pete Hegseth thinks he is, or how bothered Donald Trump is by Iran and its mullahs. Iran and its people will not give in or give up to Trump and Netanyahu, no matter how many bombs they drop, or how many airborne divisions we move from the U.S. to the Middle East.
We’ve have moved airborne divisions to the Middle East before. David Petraeus can tell you that it didn’t work. The war in Iran, which is being fought by the U.S. and Israel with bombs and missiles and defended by Iran with drones armed with bombs and missiles, will not end because Donald Trump wants it to end. Russia’s war on Ukraine will not end because Vladimir Putin wants it to end. Iran won’t stop fighting, even if they fire their last missile and their last drone, because they live there, and we don’t. Donald Trump will not get to pick their next leader.
There are no forever wars. There are only countries that don’t want to be bombed and attacked with missiles and invaded by foreign armies. Iran is one of them. Our military should pack up and go home before more of its members die in Trump’s fruitless attempt to flex his muscles and distract from everything that is driving him crazy here at home. It’s not our war, it’s Trump’s war, and after just one week, he is already losing it.



