It’s beginning to add up, isn’t it? Let’s take Trump’s war on Iran: It doesn’t matter what he does, it doesn’t matter how he spins it, it doesn’t matter what happens next, it doesn’t matter what the eventual negotiated terms are, he has lost the war that he, and no one else, started. You can see him squirm in real time. Today at the meeting of his cabinet – more about this below – when he was asked where his negotiations with Iran stood, he said either Iran “gives us what we want or we’ll finish them off.”
He’s been making that threat almost daily since the beginning of March. The Strait of Hormuz is still closed. Iran still has its near-weapons grade uranium. Reports this week say that Iran maintains 70 percent of its missile stocks, 70 percent of its launchers, 70 percent of its drone capability, including manufacturing, and 70 percent of the missile sites along the Persian Gulf that overlook shipping lanes. The Pentagon has been forced to admit that we don’t have 70 percent of anything, including cruise missiles and anti-missile Patriot batteries.
Trump has had 11 cabinet meetings since taking office last year. You’ve seen the reports – they are usually praise fests that run two to three hours, with each cabinet member in turn hailing Trump’s greatness as they condemn his enemies such as presidents Biden and Obama. Today’s cabinet meeting was supposed to take place at Camp David in Maryland’s Catoctin Mountains. Trump switched it at the last minute to the White House pleading “bad weather.” The meeting lasted all of one hour.
You know what I think? He couldn’t manage the travel. He spent the whole Memorial Day weekend in the White House. On Tuesday, Trump spent several hours at Walter Reed Medical Center for what was advertised as his “regular” medical checkup. It’s his third yearly checkup in 13 months. He’s a wreck. He falls asleep moments after he sits down, and it doesn’t matter where he is, or who is present. His chin hits his chest in the Oval Office with cabinet members, sports teams, school children, senators and members of the House and the entire White House press pool in attendance, cameras on. On Monday, he fell asleep at Arlington National Cemetery during the solemn ceremony to mark Memorial Day. He brags constantly about “acing” a test that measures cognitive health with simple questions such as identifying animals and drawing a clock. The test doesn’t measure intelligence. It measures how close you are to dementia. Doctors say that when a cognitive test is given repeatedly, it is being used to monitor dementia.
He looks like hell. His mouth droops. His makeup is badly misapplied. His hands are spackled with pancake makeup to conceal injection sites, sometimes both at once. On Monday, as he walked across the plaza at the Tomb of the Unknown Soldier, he repeatedly slapped the side of his thigh with an open hand, as if he couldn’t control himself. When he stood at attention for the ceremony, he couldn’t keep still, his body rocking back and forth, his shoulders moving side to side.
Now he’s bragging about defeating members of his own Republican Party in primaries he turned into loyalty tests. He ran someone against Senator Bill Cassidy in Louisiana because Cassidy voted to convict him in his second impeachment trial. He supported serial adulterer and financial corruption wizard Ken Paxton against Senator John Cornyn in Texas…for what reason? Cornyn didn’t do anything that could be seen as disloyal. Trump just wanted to play dominance and submission in the Texas sandbox.
Trump’s primary victories were pure exercises of MAGA control. The far-right super minions of his base obediently turned out to punish whomever Trump pointed a finger at. Trump’s Republican primaries were like those hunting ranches where rich guys show up to shoot pheasants that are released from cages right in front of them. Look! A disloyal Senator! Shoot him!
Right in the middle of the highest inflation in years, skyrocketing gas prices, looming midterm elections that are getting further out of his control by the minute, what is Trump pushing? His absurd ballroom and his cash-for-criminals “weaponization” fund that will channel money to Jan. 6 insurrectionists and anyone whose pockets Trump wants to fill with payoffs. Neither project has popular support among voters, with both polling underwater, as Trump’s own poll numbers continue to fall.
We have reached the point where the question needs to be asked, what the hell is going on? Trump has the political instincts of a rattlesnake. When he strikes, he almost never misses. But his misses are outnumbering the deadly bites at this point. Even his victories against sitting senators and Representative Massie of Kentucky may turn out to be hollow. The Republican hold on the House is razor thin, and with Tom Tillis of North Carolina already off the reservation and Susan Collins behind in her reelection in Maine and Murkowski in Alaska an independent wild card, even the Republican hold on the Senate is in jeopardy.
Did Trump just figure he could snap his fingers and make things like ripping off the Treasury to the tune of a billion dollars for his ballroom that he had promised won’t cost taxpayers “a penny” would happen automatically? He’s diving off the high board into a shallow pool on both, with his chances of winning votes in Congress disappearing at the same rate his poll numbers are crashing.
The real question right now is how bad is the collapse of his physical and mental health? With no one in the White House and no one in Congress who is willing to risk telling him no about anything, how far down will his spiral go?
You know who is watching all this in real time: The Iranian leadership, whoever they are. Do you think they are going to make even minor concessions to Trump as they watch the same decline that we see?
Watch the Strait of Hormuz. That’s where to find the answers to questions on everyone’s minds, if not on their lips.



