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18 Rules For Life (2026 Edition)

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 After first posting this list years ago, I have made it a tradition to get it out every year and re-examine it, edit it, and remind myself why I thought such things in the first place (it is also a way to give myself the day off for my birthday). This list does not represent any particular signs of wisdom on my part, because I discovered these rules much in the same way that a dim cow discovers an electric fence. 

In a break with tradition, I have fewer numbers this year (this is not the book I'm working on, but if you're a publisher who sees a book here, feel free contact me). And as the years roll by, it is interesting to note that some rules loom larger than others depending on the state of the world that year. 

In the meantime, today I exercise a blogger's privilege to be self-indulgent. My rules for life, in no particular order.

1. Don't be a dick.


There is no excuse for being mean on purpose. You will hurt people in life, either through ignorance or just because sometimes life puts us on collision courses with others and people get hurt. Sometimes conflict and struggle appear, and there is no way out but through. There is enough hurt and trouble and disappointment and rejection naturally occurring in the world; there is no reason to deliberately go out of your way to add more.

This is doubly true these days, even though some folks have decided that being a dick is a worthy goal, that inflicting hurt on Those People Who Deserve It Because They Are Wrong is some sort of virtue, that treating people poorly, on purpose, is not only okay, but necessary. It isn't. Be kind.


Step 1 of the writing process

2. Do better.

You are not necessarily going to be great. But you can always be better. You can always do a better job today than you did yesterday. Make better choices. Do better. You can always do better. Important note: having screwed up yesterday does not excuse from doing better today. No matter how lost or in the weeds you may be, no matter where you are, there's always a direction that takes you towards better.

And it's not just the "better" but also the "do." It's not enough to sit on the couch and think better thoughts. Our recent past reminds us that making the world better means actually doing something, putting something out into the world, standing up for what matters, making an effort to support what you value. 

3. Tell the truth (as best you can).

Words matter. Do not use them as tools with which to attack the world or attempt to pry prizes out of your fellow humans (see Rule #1). "Untrue but advantageous for my team" is not an okay substitute for "true to the best of my understanding." Say what you understand to be true. Life is too short to put your name to a lie.

This does not mean that every word out of your mouth is some sort of Pronouncement from God. Nor does it mean you must be unkind.

But you simply shouldn't speak, post, write or publish words that you know to be untrue. Untruths are not an acceptable means to an end; we rarely achieve our ends, and so it is our means that end up defining us. 

As a culture, we are drowning in bullshit. So much so that we simply accept that being told things that aren't true is just an ordinary part of life. And it is now accelerated because we have amazing little bullshit-generation machines, machines that cannot conceive of "true" or "false" and do not need to in order to fulfill their function of saying things that no human actually means. AI makes it easier than ever to generate a string of words that is disconnected from any intention, meaning, or truth. This not good for us.

4. Seek to understand.

Do not seek comfort or confirmation. Do not simply look for ways to prove what you already believe. Seek to understand, and always be open to the possibility that what you knew to be true yesterday must be rewritten today in the light of new, better understanding. Ignoring evidence you don't like because you want to protect your cherished beliefs is not helpful. Understand that this is a journey you will never complete, and it's not okay to quit. 

All of this goes double for interacting with other human beings. Do not simply decide who they are, or who you want to pretend they are (see #3), and force their every action and word to fit, rather than trying to understand what they are trying to communicate. Misunderstanding people on purpose makes the world a worse place.

5. Listen and pay attention.

Shut up, listen, watch, and pay attention. How else will you seek understanding? Watch carefully. Really see. Really hear. People in particular, even the ones who lie, will tell you who they are if you just pay attention.

Don't skip moments because you think they're minor. Your life is happening right now, and the idea of Special Moments just tricks us into ignoring a million other moments that are just as important. Also, love is not a thing you do at people-- to say that you care about someone even as you don't actually hear or see them is a lie.

Also, pay attention to things and people who contradict your cherished beliefs about yourself, because there may be something there that you really need to hear.

6. Be grateful.

You are the recipient of all sorts of bounty that you didn't earn. Call it the grace of God or good fortune, but be grateful for the gifts you have been given. You did not make yourself. Nobody owes you anything, but you owe God/the Universe/fate everything. I have been hugely fortunate/blessed/privileged; I would have to be some sort of huge dope to grab all that life has given me and say, "This is mine. I made this. It's all because I'm so richly deserving." I've been given gifts, and the only rational response I can think of is to be grateful. That's important because gratitude is the parent of generosity and grace. These days, the world needs more grace.

Maybe you believe that all human beings are not created equal, that some deserve more power and privilege than others. You are still fooling yourself to believe that the good parts of your life are there because you deserve to have them given to you. Understand that your privileges are privileges, and not some payment of what God owes you. 

7. Mind the 5%

95% of life is silly foolishness that humans just made up and then pretended had some Great Significance. Only about 5% really matters, has real value. Don't spend energy, worry, fret, concern, time, stress on the other 95%. The trick is that every person has a different idea of what constitutes the 5%, and sometimes the path to honoring and loving that other person is to indulge their 5%. 

Narrowing down and refining your 5% is a lifetime project. Some people just give up. Some people believe that 90% is the "really matters" part (which is exhausting). 

To know your 5% requires you to know yourself. Strip the definition of yourself of references to situation and circumstance; don't make your 5% about your car, your hair, your job, your house. The more compact your definition of self, the less it will be buffeted and beaten by changes in circumstance. When you define yourself by your car and haircut, the loss of your car or your hair is an existential crisis. Refining your core means you don't waste existential panic on minor bumps in the 95%. Note: this is good work to do long before you, say, retire from a lifelong career that largely defined you.

Also note: do not climb into your own navel and build a home there. At some point you have to stop reflecting and processing and analyzing and just get on with life. 

8. Mind your own business (and hush).

Somehow we have arrived at a culture in which everyone needs to have and express an opinion about everything. If it's not your monkey, not your circus, and not a topic about which you know a single damn thing, what do you suppose you will add by chiming in? There are people whose whole day is organized around roaming the internet so they can unleash their opinion on people (see Rule #1). This does not make the world a better place, doesn't make them better people, and doesn't help solve the issue. Sometimes it is perfectly okay to say, "There's no reason for me to express an opinion about this topic."

Worse, we now have folks who believe that not only should they have and express an opinion about how others live, but they should be able to put their opinion into law. Nobody has ever made the world (or anyone's life) better by imposing their own moral code on others. 

9. Take care of the people around you.

"What difference can one person make" is the wrong question. It is impossible for any individual human to avoid making a difference. Every day you make a difference either for good or bad. People cross your path. You either makes their lives a little better or you don't. Choose to make them better. The opportunity to make the world a better place is right in front of your face every day; it just happens to look like other people (including the annoying ones). Nobody is in a better position than you are to take care of the people right in front of your face.

These opportunities may come at inconvenient times in inconvenient forms. That's tough--we don't get to pick our times or circumstances, but we can either rise to meet them or bail. Bailing does not make the world better. Take care of people, even when the leadership of the country is leaning hard on the message that you don't need to care about Those People.


You are never too young for your first tin hat.


10. Commit.

If you're going to do it, do it. Commitment gets up and gets the job done on the days when love and passion are too tired to get off the couch. Also, commitment is like food. You don't eat on Monday and then say, "Well, that takes care of that. I don't need to think about eating for another week or so. " Commitment must be renewed regularly. Make choices. Live intentionally.

11. Shut up and do the work

While I recognize there are successful people who ignore this rule, this is my list, so these are my rules. And my rule is: Stop talking about how hard you're working or what a great job you're doing or what tremendous obstacles you're overcoming. In short, stop delivering variations on, "Hey, look at me do this work! Look at me!" Sometimes we spend too much time talking about the work instead of just doing the work. Self-reflection is valuable, but at some point you just have to get on with the work.

Note, however, there is a difference between "Hey, lookit me do this work" and "Hey, look at this important work that needs to be done." Ask the ego check question-- if you could do the work under the condition that nobody would ever know that you did it, would you still sign up? If the answer isn't "yes," ask yourself why not.

One of the side effects of social media is that not only do we curate and craft our lives, but we want lots of other people to participate in and confirm the narrative that we're creating. "You're canceling me," often means "You are refusing to corroborate my preferred narrative." We don't just want an audience; we want pliable co-stars. Worry less about both. Don't curate your narrative; do the work. Who lives, who dies, who tells your story--that will have to take care of itself.

12. Assume good intent, complexity, and the possibility of growth.

Do not assume that everyone who disagrees with you is either evil or stupid. They may well be either, or both-- but make them prove it. People mostly see themselves as following a set of rules that makes sense to them. If you can understand their set of rules, you can understand why they do what they do. Doesn't mean you'll like it any better, but you may have a basis for trying to talk to them about it. And as a bare minimum, you will see yourself operating in a world where people are trying to do the right thing, rather than a hostile universe filled with senseless evil idiots. It's a happier, more hopeful way to see the world.

Also, this: when you paint all your opponents as monsters, you provide excellent cover for the actual monsters out there, and you excuse monstrous behavior in yourself.

People grow up. People learn things. People have a day on which their peculiar batch of quirks is just what the day needs; our strengths and weaknesses are often the exact same thing just in different contexts. Awful people can have good moments, and good people can have awful moments-- it's a mistake to assume that someone is all one thing or another. Nobody can be safely written off and ignored completely. Corollary: nobody can be unquestioningly trusted and uncritically accepted all the time. People are a mixed mess of stuff. Trying to sort folks into good guys and bad guys is a fool's game. This is one reason that relationships based on commitment are more stable and positive than transactional ones. 

13. Don't waste time on people who are not being serious.

Some people aren't serious. They don't use words seriously. They don't have a serious understanding of other people or their actions or the consequences of those actions. They can be silly or careless or mean, but whatever batch of words they are tossing together, they are not serious about them. They are not guided by principle or empathy or anything substantial. There's no time-waters quite like trying to change the mind of a person about X when that person has no serious opinion about X to begin with.

Note: do not mistake grimness for seriousness and do not mistake joy and fun for the absence of seriousness. Beware: One of the great tricks of not-being-serious people is to get you to waste time on them, to spend time and energy thinking, fretting, arguing acting about shiny foolishness, leaving them free for larger abuses that go unchecked.

This rule is being heavily challenged these days are a whole lot of very un-serious people have been installed in places of power, and that makes it very hard to distinguish between wasting time dealing with them and investing time in protecting stuff from them.

14. Don't forget the point.

Whatever it is you're doing, don't lose sight of the point. It's basic Drivers Ed 101. If you look a foot in front of the car, you'll wander all over the road. If you stare right at the tree you want to miss, you will drive right into it. Where you look is where you go. Keep your eye on the goal. Remember your purpose. 

And don't try to shorthand it; don't imagine that you know the path that guarantees the outcome you want. Every "If I do X, then I will achieve Y" needs to be examined, because generally it's better to just aim straight at Y. We are living through a dynamic demonstration when someone believes that being rich, famous and powerful will somehow fix gnawing spiritual emptiness and fear of death.

And this doesn't apply to just the big stuff. Many an organization has foundered because its leaders lost sight of the actual point of the organization. Focus on the point (even if it's a goal that you may never reach) because otherwise you will miss Really Good Stuff because you had too many fixed ideas about what the path to your destination is supposed to look like.

Therefor...

15. Don't be misled by your expectations.

Most of our daily misery (not the real big suffering stuff) is the result of measuring our actual situation against expectations we've created for ourselves. So many times we could be saying "Wow! A steak!" but instead we go with, "Dammit, where's my watermelon?"

Doors will appear on your path. Open them even if they are not exactly what you were expecting or looking for. Don't simply fight or flee everything that surprises or challenges you (but don't be a dope about it, either). Most of what I've screwed up in life came from reacting in fear-- not sensible evaluation of potential problems, but just visceral fear. Most of what is good about my life has come from saying "yes." And most of that is not at all what I would have expected or planned for. With each passing year, I look at my life and think, "Well, this is not what I envisioned at all, but it is mighty fine."

16. Make something.

Music, art, refurbished furniture, machinery. Something.

17. Show up.

The first rule of all relationships is that you have to show up. And you have to fully show up. People cannot have a relationship with someone who isn't there, and that includes someone who looks kind of like they're there but who isn't really. In the combination of retirement and parenting again, I'm reminded that this also means nor just being fully present, but remembering to show up at all. You put your head down, go to work, and then a week or two later you're suddenly remembering that it's been a while since you checked in with someone. Rule #2 applies.

Part B of this rule is that when you show up, you may suddenly find out that the place and time requires something of you. Showing up means answering that call.

18. How you treat people is about you, not about them.

It's useful to understand this because it frees you from the need to be a great Agent of Justice in the world, meting out rewards and punishments based on what you think about what people have done or said. It keeps you from wasting time trying to decide what someone deserves, which is not your call anyway. It also gives you power back that you give up when your stance is that you have to wait to see what someone says or does before you react to it.

Treat people well because that's how you should treat people, not because you have decided they deserve it. But don't be a dope; if someone shows you that they will always bite you in the hand, it's prudent to stop offering them your hand. (Also, their repeated hand biting is all about them, not about you and your hand).
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DGA51
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What If Things Are Actually Going Pretty Well?

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2 women sitting on gray couch
Photo by Vivek Kumar on Unsplash

This week the internet lost its damn mind when Alex Cooper, the host of the hugely popular podcast Call Her Daddy, announced that she’s pregnant. Cooper is 31. She’s married (to a man). She is doing a thing that some 85% of American women will do before they reach the end of their childbearing years. And she’s doing it on nearly the exact timeline of the average American female college graduate.

But to hear too-online pro-family conservatives tell it, Cooper had spent her 20s convincing young women to live lives of libertine feminism, and now was, hypocritically, settling down.

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If this sounds bonkers it’s because it very much objectively is. But women in Cooper’s demographic — college-educated working women — have become something of a trigger for the broader right. The overt misogynists hate them because these women are (allegedly) stealing men’s jobs and then (justifiably) refusing to marry and procreate with men who despise them. But the pro-family conservatives seem to resent them, too, even though these women are, by pro-family measures, doing a lot right.

Women who go to college remain far more likely than their non-college peers to have children within a marriage, and to marry in the first place: A college-educated Millennial born in 1980 is just as likely to be married as a woman born in 1940; the steep decline in marriage has been almost entirely among people without college degrees. College-educated women are vastly unlikely to live in poverty. Even women who graduate from college and have children without being married are far less likely to be raising children in poverty than single moms who didn’t go to college (13 percent vs. 41 percent). College-educated married women are less likely to divorce than their non-college married counterparts. College-educated women have, in other words, generally followed the life script that pro-family conservatives want us to follow: We finished school, worked, chose partners wisely, had children when we were stable and ready, and largely stayed married.

And instead of seeing this as a great achievement, we’ve heard: “No, not like that!”

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The idea seems to be that affluent women like Alex Cooper are selling some Sex & the City fantasy to poorer women who are then duped into bad relationships, or maybe into forgoing relationships entirely. None of that seems to be borne out in anything resembling research, but to some significant chunk of the conservative commentariat, it feels true. Or perhaps the argument is that college-educated liberals hold “luxury beliefs” like it’s fine to opt out of college or be single parents but then don’t actually do those things ourselves — so we’re either too prescriptive (telling women to stay single and have fun until it’s too late) or we’re too broadminded (saying any life choice is ok), but either way, whatever is going wrong with marriage and childbearing is our fault, and certainly not that of the same conservative ideologies that are far more prominent in America’s working-class low-marriage enclaves than they are in, say, brownstone Brooklyn. And this is all getting tied up in what seems to be a never-ending Birthrate Discourse, in which there is a collective freakout over declining rates of baby-having.

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DGA51
15 hours ago
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Family planning works!
Central Pennsyltucky
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Comedy Gold! Panicked Trump Is Campaigning On His "Achievements" 🤣🤣

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The average price of gas across the nation is $4.50. The price of groceries just rose faster than at any point in the last four years. Millions are losing their healthcare. Rent and housing are getting more expensive. Inflation is rising faster than wages. The economy is coming apart at the seams, and everyone knows Donald Trump and his party are to blame.

Naturally, they’re going to barnstorm the country and campaign on all of the amazing ways they’ve fucked helped the American people:

Trump and his top officials are fanning out across the U.S. this week for events aimed at touting his domestic achievements — a notable pivot after major foreign policy matters in Iran, China, Cuba, Venezuela and elsewhere have dominated headlines for months.

Back in 2017, Republicans pushed through the largest tax cut in American history, and it went overwhelmingly to billionaires and corporations. They tried to campaign on this magnificent accomplishment for the midterms because Republicans live in a hermetically sealed propaganda bubble. They were absolutely shocked to discover the public, including their own voters, was intensely hostile towards tax cuts for the rich when the economy was sluggish.1

The economy right now is not sluggish; it is being actively murdered by a regime whose goal is to turn America into a piggy bank for the Epstein Class and their enablers.

These motherfuckers just stole almost $2 billion of OUR money to use as bribes, and they’re going to steal soooo much more before we drag them into the streets and hang them for crimes against humanity.2 This is what EVERY dictator has done throughout history: They loot the country and leave behind a smoking husk when they’re done. Fuck that and fuck these cheap little criminals. They haven’t done a goddman thing for the American people.

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Here’s the thing…the regime is going to run around the country and lie through its fucking teeth. That’s the strategy.

“This is the strongest economy in American history!” - Reality: We’ve been flirting with stagflation for the first time in half a century.

“We have a manufacturing revolution!” Reality: We’re shedding manufacturing jobs.

“We’ll have affordable healthcare in two weeks!” Reality: Prices have risen sharply as millions dropped their coverage. Which is exactly what Republicans wanted when they passed their “Big Beautiful Bill” last year.

“I will make groceries cheaper!” Reality: Between the oil shock and fertilizer shock, groceries are only going to get more expensive throughout the rest of the year.

Trump and his bootlicking toadies are going to promise everyone puppies and ice cream and unicorns and it’s all going to happen right after the midterms! Just you wait and see! It’s going to be amazing. An economy like you wouldn’t believe!

Now, the MAGA cult will believe because Trump could feed them a pile of his used diapers, tell them it’s premium Trump Steaks™, and they would brag to their friends about how they ate some of the finest steaks ever made. Is that poop dribbling down your chin? And why does your breath smell like shit, Cletus? Shaddup, Elroy! Fake news!

But the rest of the country? Ain’t no one going to believe a goddamn word coming out of the regime’s mouth. Even with the legacy press carrying water all day long, the lies will just be too ridiculous to work.

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By the summer, we will be in the middle of Trump’s oil shock, and the economy will spiral out of control. As I’ve said too many times to count, a competent and well-intentioned administration would struggle to keep things from falling apart. The regime is maliciously incompetent and will not only be incapable of preventing an economic meltdown, they will welcome it.

It’s important to remember, autocrats see economic distress as an excuse to grant themselves “emergency powers.” EVERY emergency is another excuse to grab more power. The economy is in jeopardy, we’re at war, there’s civil unrest, why, how can we trust the results of the midterm elections, y’all?!

That’s not going to work, but they’re definitely thinking they can try it.

Regardless, the regime, at the moment, thinks it can boost its chances in the midterms by bragging about all of its “accomplishments.” Which tells us they are either completely detached from reality or supremely confident in their ability to bullshit the public. Or both.

A third option is that they really do not understand just how bad the economy is about to get and just how intense the public’s anger will be. Or that it will be entirely directed at the people in charge, aka, Republicans. I would bet a shiny nickel on Option #3. These are the same people who thought they could topple Iran in a few weeks and still can’t figure out why the Strait of Hormuz is closed. Long-term thinking and understanding more complex ideas than “Does it look good on TV?” is really hard for them.3

So here’s what I think is going to happen: Trump and his flying monkeys will race around the country for a few weeks, maybe a month, making shit up the entire time. They’ll handpick their audiences so they can pretend they’re speaking to crowds of “average Americans” who just so happen to all love Trump. The press will pretend these are real events and try really hard to push a narrative that everything is awesome.

But then the oil shock will hit, and everything will not be awesome. The regime will hold its breath and stamp its feet, but the economy will contract hard and fast. Trump’s popularity, already at historic lows, will erode even further.

The Republican Party will then pivot to the same closing message it always pivots to when it is losing: Naked racism and bigotry. We will see a massive surge in Islamophobic rhetoric in late Summer, early Fall. Trump will suddenly rediscover how much he vocally hates immigrants from predominantly Black countries. The regime will almost certainly avoid antagonizing the Latino community any further, but any other kind of immigrant? It will be open season on them. Expect the regime to cancel as many TPS orders as it can to pander to its base of white nationalist trash.

The attacks on the Trans community will intensify, and don’t be surprised if the regime begins its war on the rest of the LGB_Q community. They’re going to be desperate to distract from their failures on both the domestic and international stage.

If (when) this happens, we have to be ready to stand in front of the vulnerable and say, “Not today, you fascist Nazi fucks!” and then kick them in the teeth so hard in November, even the most weak-kneed Democrats know that it’s time to go for the throat of the regime. We have to stand for more than just protecting our money. We have to stand for protecting each other, and the time is coming to prove we are who we say we are: The party of all the people, not just the ones we’re comfortable with. Otherwise, we’re no better than the fascist fucks trying to destroy our country.

I hope you feel better informed about the world and ready to kick fascists in the teeth to protect it. This newsletter exists because of you, so please consider becoming a supporting subscriber today for only $5 a month or just $50 a year (a 17% discount!). Thank you for everything!

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There are 167 days until the most important midterm election in American history. The regime is afraid, and they should be. We are legion, and they are weak. Stay strong. You are never alone.

1

They probably wouldn’t have loved it if times were good, but they wouldn’t have metaphorically been throwing rotten fruit at the stage.

2

After a trial, of course.

3

Some of them, like Scott Bessent and Russell Vought, are smart enough, but Trump lets them do their job destroying the country, and doesn’t pay attention to them on other issues.

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DGA51
2 days ago
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Iran doesn’t have midterms

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Do you want to know what our president spent today doing? He posted 36 times on his Truth Social account endorsing Republican candidates running in primaries for Congress. One after another, he posted crap like this:

Congressman Glenn “GT” Thompson is a Tremendous Champion for Pennsylvania’s 15th Congressional District!

Congressman Rob Bresnahan is a terrific Representative of Pennsylvania’s 8th Congressional District!

When he wasn’t endorsing Republicans, he was attacking the ones he doesn’t like, Thomas Massie first among them.

Third Rate Congressman Thomas Massie, a Weak and Pathetic RINO from the Great Commonwealth of Kentucky, a place I love, and won big SIX TIMES, including all Primaries, must be thrown out of office, ASAP!

Trump just couldn’t resist reminding all his fans that he won Kentucky SIX TIMES.

Of course you know who didn’t spend the day endorsing candidates for primary elections: The leadership of the Islamic Republic of Iran. They don’t have elections, and they don’t have to worry about the kinds of polls that have recently been hitting Donald Trump like machinegun fire: His job approval is at 37 percent in the Times-Siena poll published today. His numbers on how he’s handling the war against Iran are even worse: 31 percent approve, with 65 percent of all Americans disapproving. On “cost of living,” a pretty good bellwether for the economy, Trump is at 28 percent approval. Other recent polls have said the same. CNN found only 30 percent approve of his handling of the economy, with 77 disapproving.

Buried beneath all the political endorsements and whining about how he’s covered in the press, Donald Trump made the announcement that he won’t be bombing the shit out of Iran tomorrow. Trump claimed he was “asked” by the heads of state of three Gulf countries – United Arab Emirates, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia -- to “hold off our planned Military attack of the Islamic Republic of Iran, which was scheduled for tomorrow.”

You bet he was asked to cancel the bombers. Just yesterday, an Iranian drone hit what was described as an electrical generating station next to one of the UAE’s two nuclear reactors, the only ones that have been built in the Middle East. The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), said today that the Iranian drone strike has caused that reactor to rely on emergency diesel generators. This sounds rather benign until you realize that nuclear reactors rely on electrical power that comes from somewhere else to run the reactors. That electricity, for example, runs the control rooms of the reactors, the pumps that supply the cooling water to the reactor cores – pretty much everything that keeps the reactor from melting down, in other words.

Iran targeted the UAE far more than other Gulf countries during Trump’s war, firing 563 ballistic missiles and more than 2,200 drones at the UAE. On some days, the UAE saw more than 100 missiles and drones aimed at targets within its borders. So, almost immediately after Donald Trump rattled what’s left of his sabers, telling Iran “the clock is ticking” and if Iran doesn’t “move fast” on accepting U.S. negotiating terms, “there won’t be anything left,” Iran hit the one nuclear reactor in the Gulf. Hours later, the president of the UAE joined the Emir of Qatar and the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia begging Trump to back off.

That wasn’t predictable, was it?

Hmmmmm…what else happened over the last few days? Oh, I remember! U.S. intelligence sources told the New York Times that Iran has maintained about 70 percent of its ballistic missile capability after Trump’s and Hegseth’s almighty bombing campaign. Thirty of 33 missile sites overlooking the Strait of Hormuz are back on line. Those would be the ones that target ships in the Strait if Iran decides it’s not only going to blockade the Strait with threats but start blowing tankers and cargo ships out of the water. All those strikes Hegseth assured us had “destroyed” Iran’s missile capability? Well, it turns out that the missiles themselves weren’t destroyed. All the U.S. was able to do was hit the entrances to the caves and tunnels, and Iran has spent the ceasefire digging out the rubble covering the tunnel entrances and moving mobile missile launchers to new locations.

Iran’s underground missile storage facilities are largely intact, as are the country’s underground stockpile of drones and drone manufacturing plants.

We are now aware of who else knows all this: the nations of the Gulf who got hammered by Iran during the war. They know that the drone hit on the UAE’s nuclear facility was just Iran dropping a hint – and a rather dangerous one – of what is to come if Trump orders another bombing campaign on Iran.

While Iran has been busy repairing its military installations and getting ready for a new U.S. strike, Trump was in China begging President Xi to order some civilian airliners from Boeing, bragging on the way home that they are going to buy 200 aircraft, rather than 150, which Trump claimed they had planned on buying. Reports since his trip say that China has not placed an order with Boeing, that the 200 number could end up being smoke and mirrors, and that was the big accomplishment out of his three days of pomp. Late reports say that Trump didn’t even eat the food he was served at the banquet put on in his honor.

Today it was reported that Xi and Putin exchanged “congratulatory letters” in advance of Putin’s visit to China later this week. Gee, I wonder what Xi was congratulating Putin for. Could it be reports that Russia has helped Iran by supplying intelligence on where U.S. assets are held in the Middle East and Europe, as well as providing satellite intelligence on flight patterns of U.S. attack aircraft? Recall that Iran was able to shoot down one F-18 before the ceasefire began, which must have sent some chills down some Pentagon spines.

Congrats, Vladimir! What do you know about U.S. naval jet flight patterns in, let’s see…the South China Sea? How about flight patterns for U.S. jets flown by the air force of Taiwan?

You know, and China knows, and Russia knows, and Iran knows how Donald Trump spent the weekend before the national security meeting he had scheduled for tomorrow in the Situation Room. Playing golf.

That’s what most presidents do two days before they’re going to order the resumption of bombing of a serious adversary that is causing the largest disruption in the world economy since the crash of 2008. They play golf. Then they go on social media and complain about a New York Times reporter being a “traitor” because he reported, accurately, that the Pentagon had not been exactly straight with the American people about the damage that had been done to Iran during the war.

Everything about this war is way, way out of the control of Donald Trump. He knows that he’s going to have to settle for an agreement on Iran’s nuclear facilities that won’t even be as good as the one he cancelled that was negotiated by his nemesis, Barack Obama. There are multiple reports that Trump asked Xi for help with Iran and was turned down – by the guy who gets tons and tons of his oil from Iran and presumably has some juice with its leaders. Trump knows that his war is so unpopular with the American people that it’s driving his overall numbers to record lows for a president at this point in his second term in office.

And he knows that the midterm elections are less than six months away.

Boy, I bet he’s glad that he’s got he game of golf to calm his nerves. Nothing like driving your own personal golf cart emblazoned with presidential seals and cheating your way to another “win” over whatever hapless supplicant you’ve chosen to play against this week.

Are you listening, Lindsey? There’s a hapless supplicant position open for next Saturday. Maybe by then Trump will have changed his mind about bomb-bomb-bomb Iran and you guys can pick targets while you’re playing the back nine at Bedminster. What fun!

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DGA51
3 days ago
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How does Bibi feel about this?
Central Pennsyltucky
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Trump's Numbers Have Hit Rock Fucking Bottom (And The Worst Is Yet To Come)

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It’s a sad day in America when a tiny, petty little copycat of a tyrant can start a war of choice in the Middle East and the country doesn’t rush to praise him as a conquering hero. Whatever happened to good ol’ fucking American pride?!?! Has the United States of ‘Murika become too goddamn woke and filled with weak-kneed liberal pussies to celebrate our massive indisputable AWESOME military victory in Iran that has resulted in exactly zero of our stated objectives and has made the price of gas (and everything else) shoot through the fucking roof?

Ummmm…looks like the answer might be…yes?

Most voters think President Trump made the wrong decision to go to war with Iran, a New York Times/Siena poll found, leaving the Republican Party on rocky political footing heading into the midterm elections as his approval rating sinks and economic concerns rise.

Majorities of voters said that the war was not worth the costs and held deeply pessimistic views about the economy.

73% of Independents rejecting your stupid war and the inflation it’s causing is not an electoral kiss of death going into the midterms. It’s the throat fucking of doom.

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How much trouble is Trump in? Soooo much fucking trouble. This is not a blip. This is a trend and it’s been going on for too long to ignore:

A four-point decline isn’t necessarily huge, but it puts Mr. Trump’s ratings in new political territory. While recent presidencies have often been unpopular and polarizing, no president’s approval rating has been under 38 percent for more than a few days in the last 17 years, according to our average. If there has been a floor during this partisan era of politics, Mr. Trump’s ratings today have fallen to it.

But let’s be more specific. Let’s look at what’s coming and what happens next. There are two things to consider here.

  1. 37% is what the Professional Left Podcast calls “The Sarah Palin Floor.” This is the lowest Trump can go. Maybe. This is the 37% of Americans who will lick Trump’s unwashed balls while he is raping their 14-year-old daughter and thank him for the privilege. He can shoot their family dog, and they will beg him to stay for a dinner of unseasoned mashed potatoes and boiled chicken. He can burn their house down in the middle of winter, and they will marvel at how their favorite president DONALD J. TRUMP!!! made a campfire for them.

    But worshipping Trump does not translate into worship for the Republican Party. No matter how tightly the party clings to Trump’s leg and humps it for all they’re worth, his cult will inevitably vent their frustrations on them, mostly by not voting. They may understand, intellectually1, that their godking needs them to vote, but they’ll be sooooo fucking mad at the GOP, they’ll just stay home.

    The end result will be a blue wave that the legacy press won’t even bother trying to downplay like they did in 2018.2 Gerrymandering will not save them if their voters do not turn out.

  2. As I have been reminding people since last year: We still have not reached the really nasty part of Trump’s economic disaster. We’re about to, though. We crossed the event horizon weeks ago, and it’s too late to stop Trump’s oil shock from impacting the country now. Even if Iran surrendered today and reopened the Strait of Hormuz, it wouldn’t matter. Even if Trump capitulated and gave Iran everything they wanted right now, it wouldn’t matter. If they shook hands and reached a deal neither side really likes but restores peace and gets the oil and fertilizer shipping again, it wouldn’t matter. The damage is already done, and we’re going to start feeling the real effects in the next couple of weeks, long before any oil from the Gulf could possibly reach us. You still have some time to prepare, but that time is running out:

    But let’s be honest…Trump is too stupid and arrogant to end his war of choice. He started it to look good on TV, and now that it’s a disaster, he has no idea how to get out of it without looking like the fucking loser he’s been his entire life. He went to China on his knees, begging to be bailed out because when Trump has fucked up, like he has so many MANY times in his life, someone always bails him out. His father, the American mob, the Russian mob, Elon Musk, some bigger piece of shit has always swooped in to pick up the pieces because Trump was a useful idiot who served their agenda. But now, Trump failing serves China’s agenda, and they’re the only bigger piece of shit in a position to help. Womp-womp for us.


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    The American economy (and the global economy with it) is going to contract, hard. A lot of people are going to lose their jobs, their benefits, access to health insurance, food banks are going to be overwhelmed because the regime has crippled them, and on and on and on. Unlike what Fox News would have us believe, most of those people aren’t going to be minorities in cities. They’re going to be rural whites, aka, Trump voters, aka “real Americans.”

    They will be furious, but even in their psychotic fugue state of racism, misogyny, and bigotry, it’s really hard to tell yourself that immigrants and Trans kids made the price of gas and inflation go up. Even Fox News has been talking about how closing the Strait of Hormuz is a problem for consumers. The dimmest of MAGA will be able to connect those dots.


    Trump may be the Second Coming of Christ Himself, but when a few million more of his disciples lose their homes and their retirements because of him, they’re going to discover what we’ve known all along:

So what happens when Trump destroys EVERYTHING? We can look to the last Republican cult and how they responded when their infallible divine messenger shit the bed. When George W. Bush annihilated the economy and left two disastrous wars in his wake, his cult magically discovered that they never supported him from the beginning. Praise JAY-zus! They were never Republicans! Heavens no! They were the Tea Party! Or Constitutional Conservatives! Or “Independents!” We saw this with Bush, and we will see it with Trump because Republican voters hate one thing in this world more than they hate us,3 and that is being demonstrably wrong.

They erased Bush because he was so terrible that they couldn’t avoid the reality that he had destroyed the economy and their lives. Trump is heading down the same road, but worse. What choice will they have? Blame Joe Biden for attacking Iran? I mean, they can try, but I’m not sure even the most cult-brained inbred MAGA will be able to tolerate sounding that fucking stupid for long.

Trump’s cult will kill for him. They will die for him when they believe diseases and vaccines are a hoax. They will not, however, tolerate ongoing inconvenience and poverty for him. When it costs $100 or more to fill the manly pickup every week, and the grocery bill tops $250, while Trump won’t stop talking about his fucking ballroom? Well, that’s a man who doesn’t care about me and my red-blooded, God-lovin’ American family. That’s an out-of-touch billionaire and maybe he was one of them all along. That’s why I’m an Independent and never voted for that lying piece of shit, and any Trump bumper stickers you see on my F-150 were probably put there by some commie-pinko leftist!

The Trump cult will lie, cheat, steal, and murder for their Dear Leader and they will vote away their future time and again. But when the bill comes due, there’s only so much they’ll put up with before abandoning their cult and pretending they were the victim all along.

George W. Bush found that out the hard way, and I think Trump is now going to learn the same hard lesson in the very near future. Just breaks my little Ogre heart…

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There are 168 days until the most important midterm election in American history. The regime is afraid, and they should be. We are legion, and they are weak. Stay strong. You are never alone.

1

I said MAGA are capable of intellect! BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAAHH! I’m such a kidder!

2

Most people do not remember this, but the press literally spent almost a month declaring the ‘18 wave a dud even as Republicans lost more seats than at any point since Watergate.

3

“Us” meaning women and Blacks and homosexuals and Trans people and Asians and Jews and Latinos and Muslims and the poor and the mentally disabled and the physically disabled and and and and unto infinity.

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DGA51
3 days ago
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Central Pennsyltucky
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Weekend Rewind: Here Comes Trump's Oil Shock Edition

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The Opinionated Ogre is 100% reader-supported. Please help me continue to inform/amuse/outrage you by becoming a supporting subscriber today for only $5 a month or just $50 a year (a 17% discount!)! If not, it’s all good. Welcome to the Ogre Nation anyway!

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Time is almost up, and the last of the mitigation efforts will run out in the next couple of weeks. A month or two at most (and that’s a huge stretch). After that, all of the really bad things start. There will be no one to blame except Joe Biden Trans kids Immigrants Hillary Clinton Your Mother Donald Fucking Trump.

You still have time to get ready. Get to it. Then pull up a seat and enjoy the show as the regime panics.


Monday: Don’t listen to the people telling you society is going to collapse. But you do want to get ready for rough waters ahead.


Tuesday: You cannot be friends or allies with people who want you dead.


Wednesday: Recording and Writing D&D for the girls.


Thursday: Podcast!


Also Thursday: Be careful what you wish for.


Friday: The kids had a wonderful prom night. Me? Not so much.


5 Things I found Interesting This Week

  1. On Superpower Suicide - And the recovery of justice by Timothy Snyder at Thinking about…

  2. Trump Has Officially Lost The War In Iran And The Great Energy Collapse Of 2026 Is Coming. - Bob Kagan just declared “checkmate” on America in Iran while the US prepares to fall off an energy cliff in the next two weeks. You should probably buy an EV soon. by Dean Blundell

  3. Nobody Tells You The Last Time They’ll Reach For Your Hand - On Grief, Granola, and the Country Our Children Deserve by JOJOFROMJERZ at Are you f’ng kidding me?

  4. The Sex Economy: The Enclosure of Connection - Your Loneliness Is Not a Personal Failure. It’s a Business Model. by Farida Khalaf at Lights On

  5. Is Russia Finally Losing Its War of Choice in Ukraine? - The raw numbers don’t lie, and they carry a stern lesson for the U.S. by Jay Kuo at The Status Kuo

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DGA51
5 days ago
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Central Pennsyltucky
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